Posts Tagged ‘Oliver Perez’

Heading into today’s game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Mets currently sit in third place in the NL East – behind 1st place by a growing gap of 7.5 games. That seems a world away from right before the All-Star break, where the Mets were in striking distance of the Braves, going to Atlanta, only to lose the series 2-1. Still, at the All-Star break, the Mets had to feel good. Carlos Beltran was set to come back. Their pitching was holding up. But, as this long road trip has shown us – the Mets struggle heavily on the road. The Mets offense has been dismal – seemingly getting shut-out or held below three runs in every game. In the last ten games, the Mets are 2-8, highlighted by last nights’ loss in the thirteenth inning – on a walk off home run given up by none other than Mr. Oliver “I’m-too-good-to-go-to-the-minors-even-though-I-have-a-1837489.23 ERA” Perez. The Mets need to change something, and fast. An offense with Jason Bay batting seventh would seem like a pretty good offense, wouldn’t it? Not with Bay struggling to prove his worth. The Mets need to make some sort of move – trade Francouer. Trade Pagan. Heck, trade Beltran if we can improve in return. The Mets faithful are tired of empty promises. Tired of disappointment. Tired of falling apart at the stretch. Hey, right now we’re even falling apart before the stretch! That could give us reason to be a little less heartbroken.

Where did the Mets go wrong with Oliver Perez? If Omar Minaya himself is wondering the answer to this question, a simple answer can really be given. Mr. Minaya, it happened the moment you signed him to a 3 year, $33 MILLION DOLLAR CONTRACT. If you can’t do the math, that’s $12 million a year! Even when Perez was a borderline (and I use the term as a stretch) #3 starter in 2007, you don’t reward him by giving him #1 starter money. Lets take a closer look at Oliver Perez’s journey to and now with the New York Mets.

In 2004, when Perez was a member of the Pittsburgh Pirates, and back when he was actually a formidable starter, he won 12 games, had a 2.98 ERA, and struck out 239 batters over 196 innings. Now, I can admit, those are closer stats worthy of earning $12 million dollars a year. But, Perez was a very young pitcher, and although when these pitchers get their first shot in the big leagues do produce – many times when hitters get a chance to face them and are able to pick up pitcher tendencies, they then fall apart. (See Dontrelle Willis). In order to be a successful ace in the MLB, you need to mix speeds, and hit spots. Oliver Perez simply cannot hit spots. Perez has always had a high number of walks and hit batsman, which is a horrible tendency to have in the major leagues. Read the rest of this entry »

San Francisco Giants (17-10) @ New York Mets (15-13)

Pitching Probables:
Friday: Jonathan Sanchez, LHP (2-2, 2.48) vs. Mike Pelfrey, RHP (4-1, 2.40)
Saturday: Todd Wellemeyer, RHP (1-3, 5.55) vs. Johan Santana, LHP (3-2, 4.50)
Sunday: Tim Lincecum, RHP (4-0, 1.70) vs. Oliver Perez, LHP (0-2, 4.05)

Giants Player to Watch: Keep an eye on Bengie Molina, whom I expect to be booed in his at-bats. Molina had “reportedly” agreed to a deal with the Mets but backed up to return to San Fran. I don’t think too many Mets fans are complaining now with the great play of Rod Barajas but it is still something that must sting fans knowing he really did not want to be here and once he got another offer, a worse offer he took it and ran from New York. Molina is also their big slugger so keep an eye on him because the Giants do not have a very deep lineup offensively and they rely heavily on Molina.

Mets Player to Watch: Starting Pitchers. Mike Pelfrey had an MRI during the week and skipped a bullpen session. He is also coming off his first loss last week in Philly in a pretty bad start. Let’s see how Pelf bounces back. Santana gave up 10 runs to Philly on Sunday night and just had nothing on his pitches. This is a big start for Johan as he needs to bounce back in a big way. And than of course there’s Olie. Olie was awful 2 weeks ago against LAD. Pretty good against Cincy. This is a big start for Perez because it may be the rubber game and the Mets are 0-5 in those this year. They MUST win this series and Perez must continue to pitch consistently well. Oh yeah…and Perez faces Tim Lincecum Sunday which makes his start even more important.

The Rubber Game: It would be great if the Mets won tonight and tomorrow with Pelf and Johan on the mound and than we did not worry about Perez vs. Lincecum, but I doubt it will work out that way. As I have said in every series since I have started writing – the Mets MUST win 2 out of 3 in this series and I will continue to preach that and leave it at that. 2 of 3. Pelfrey tonight against a sometimes wild Jonathan Sanchez. Our “ace” tomorrow against a guy who used to be a middle reliever. And our….our Olie? Against one of the game’s top two pitchers. Win tonight. Win tomorrow. And go to Church or Temple to pray on Sunday for Olie.

New York Mets (14-11) vs. Cincinnati Reds (12-13)

Pitching Probables:
Monday: Oliver Perez, LHP (0-2, 4.35) vs. Mike Leake, RHP (2-0, 3.25)
Tuesday: John Maine, RHP (1-1, 7.15) vs. Bronson Arroyo, RHP (1-2, 6.37)
Wednesday: Jon Niese, LHP (1-1, 3.10) vs. Johnny Cueto, RHP (1-1, 5.33)

Mets Player on the Hot Seat: It’s Oliver Perez. Olie needs to be “Good Olie” tonight to keep his spot in the rotation. Takahashi has pitched well out of the ‘pen and could earn a start soon if Olie falters tonight in Cincy. Perez just needs to be calm and have control of his pitches.

Reds Player to Watch: Let’s stick with tonight’s pitching matchup. Keep an eye on Reds rookie Mike Leake, who is 2-0 with a 3.25 ERA. Leake was the Reds 1st round pick (8th overall) in the 2009 draft. He skipped the minors altogether and made the Reds rotation as 5th starter this year. Leake was actually teammates with Ike Davis at Arizona State so it should be fun for them two to see one another tonight. The Mets often struggle against rookie pitchers they have never seen before and with Olie on mound need a quick start with the bats tonight. This could be an explosive game offensively for both teams.

More Mets on the Hot Seat: Why not? Gary Matthews Jr and Frank Catalanotto. These are the guys I frequently see hated on, on twitter. Personally, I have hated Matthews Jr since day 1. I was hoping Catalanotto would be solid, veteran bat off the bench but he obviously hasn’t been. Both of these guys need to go…now. And replaced with younger, better options. Like Chris Carter and Jason Pridie or Daniel Murphy in there somewhere, maybe for Tatis. Either way Mets need more life and more talent on their bench. Cora can stay because he is a player-manager in the dugout.

Where do we go from here? Well after winning 8 in a row, the Mets have lost 2 straight to the Phillies. The Mets absolutely must win at least 2 games in this series and than go back home to face the Giants this weekend, another series in which 2 games will be important. The Mets have Olie and Maine going in this series and these two starts are extremely important for them. Maine pitched very well in his last start against the Dodgers but Perez was terrible. The Reds do have some offensive weapons to do damage and it’s important that these games go in the Mets favor. As we all know…every game counts. These are the games, if the Mets seriously want to contend, they need to win because their better than the Reds and they just got humiliated in consecutive games against their rivals. The Mets must show some emotion. Last week we saw this team with swagger during the winning streak. Bring back that swagger. Be a bully. Act like a pissed off teenager and beat this team up.

Lets Go Mets!

I will be at the game tonight and tomorrow. If anyone else will be let me know through twitter (@msschneid).

Bill Madden of the Daily News suggests the Mets go after second-tier free agents rather than the marquee players who will demand large contracts. While I agree with Madden that the Mets should pursue second-tier position players, I disagree with the Mets pursuing second-tier pitchers. The Mets need to sign the best free agent pitcher, John Lackey, or make a trade for one of the best pitchers in the game, Roy Halladay. A team can get production from a cheaper alternative at left field, but when it comes to pitching, cheaper alternatives don’t always add up to the production of an ace-like pitcher. 

If the Mets settle on both second-tier position players and pitchers, they’ll remain at mediocrity in 2010. Their rotation is full of question marks after Johan Santana. Will free agent pitchers like Jason Marquis, Randy Wolf or Joel Pineiro be any better than current Met starters John Maine, Mike Pelfrey or Oliver Perez? 

Left fielders Matt Holliday and Jason Bay are going to be expensive and will hinder the Mets from spending money elsewhere. When I looked over the Mets options at left field, Marlon Byrd seemed the best fit for the team. The left field free agent class is deep compared to other positions. After Holliday and Bay, the there are steady players like Byrd, Johnny Damon and Marcus Thames, among others.

Financially, it’s not certain where the team stands. The Mets are said to be targeting marquee free agents but when it comes down to it, will they be able to afford them? If they can, Lackey should be target number one. After Lackey, they can look to Marlon Byrd or Marcus Thames in left field and also take a peak at another starter like Jason Marquis or Joel Pineiro. 

If Lackey is not an option, the Mets should strongly consider putting together a package for Roy Halladay. Halladay has recently said he won’t be signing with the Blue Jays after 2010, making it more likely he’ll be traded. 

The addition of Lackey or Halladay will make this team an instant playoff contender. The addition of Marquis or Pineiro will make this team marginally better.

Here is why the Mets should sign John Lackey.

John Lackey would fit in nicely in the Mets rotation as the number two starter right behind ace Johan Santana. Lackey is looking to sign a deal north of what AJ Burnett got from the Yankees last season; five years, $82.5 million. More so than spending over $100 million on a left fielder, the Mets need to sign Lackey, a top of the rotation kind of starter. All they need to do is look at their subway series rivals for the reason. The Yankees went through the entire postseason with three starters and it’s the first time a World Series champion team did that since the Twins did it in 1991. Having a great one-two punch of CC Sabathia and AJ Burnett at the top of the rotation allowed the Yankees to do it (it also didn’t hurt they had veteran Andy Pettitte as their number three starter). The combination of Johan Santana and John Lackey could be just as good, if not better, than Sabathia and Burnett.

Even with the additional offense the Mets can get by signing Matt Holliday or Jason Bay in left field, they aren’t going to make a deep October run with just Johan Santana and some middle rotation guys. Lackey is a much better number two starter than any of the pitchers the Mets currently have. Mike Pelfrey becomes the third starter followed by either John Maine or Oliver Perez. Lackey comes with postseason experience and a ring from 2002, during his rookie season.

Is Lackey deserving of a contract of more than Burnett’s $82.5 million over five years? Lackey and AJ Burnett have very similar career stats. Don’t be turned off that since going 2-0 in the 2002 postseason, Lackey as only won one game in nine playoff starts. His career record in the playoffs is 3-4 with a 3.12 ERA. He has won more than 14 games in a season just once (2007 19-9, 3.01 ERA). Here is how Burnett and Lackey’s career stats compare:

Career Statistics
                     G      GS    W       L    CG   SHO   IP           H        R       ER     HR     BB     K          ERA     
AJ Burnett      248   244  100    85   20    9     1583.1    1392   744    676   147    665   1473    3.84      
John Lackey   234   233  102    71   14    8     1501.0    1519   702    636   151    441   1201    3.81      

Instead of spending all of their money on a marquee left fielder, the Mets need to consider signing John Lackey first. They might exert a lot of time and effort into Holliday or Bay, who may sign elsewhere. As they are doing that, Lackey might be gone already and the top two left fielders and top pitcher are off the board and the Mets stand idle. Lackey needs to be the Mets’ number one target in free agency. Some day, Santana and Lackey could be standing where Sabathia and Burnett are standing today.

Notable World Series Champion 1-2 starting pitchers since 2000:
2000: Andy Pettitte/Roger Clemens Yankees
2001: Randy Johnson/Curt Schilling Diamondbacks
2004: Pedro Martinez/Curt Schilling Red Sox
2007: Josh Beckett/Curt Schilling Red Sox
2009: CC Sabathia/AJ Burnett Yankees